Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers
Final, recorded 4 h ago · this page re-reads every 15 min while open
Week 1, 2026 · Sunday, Sep 13, 8:25 PM · dome
Arizona Cardinals1–0 · Elo 1488 · Jacoby Brissett (-44)
26–14
Los Angeles Chargers
0–1 · Elo 1481 · Justin Herbert (+20) · Home
Final: ARI 26, LAC 14. Elo moved LAC 1523 → 1481 and ARI 1446 → 1488.
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | LAC | ARI | Points earned | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | LAC 75% | 75% | 25% | -31.2 | LAC 1523 vs ARI 1446, implied spread LAC −7.6 |
| Closing spread | LAC 74% | 74% | 26% | -29.8 | LAC -8.5 |
| The blend | LAC 76% | 76% | 24% | -32.8 |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Los Angeles Chargers over the Cardinals: Elo 75%, market 74%. Tight agreement: go above both. Herbert is worth 20 Elo; Brissett is costing 44 Elo.
Details
- Rest: LAC 7 days, ARI 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: LAC +20 (Justin Herbert), ARI -44 (Jacoby Brissett). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market prices were recorded before this game.