Week 1 predictions

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants

Final, recorded 4 h ago · this page re-reads every 15 min while open

Week 1, 2026 · Monday, Sep 14, 12:20 AM · outdoors

Dallas Cowboys
0–1 · Elo 1449 · Dak Prescott (+19)
Elo: NYG 51%Spread: DAL 59%
2028
New York Giants
1–0 · Elo 1474 · Jaxson Dart · Home
Final: DAL 20, NYG 28. Elo moved NYG 14531474 and DAL 14701449.

What the forecasters say

ForecasterFavorsNYGDALPoints earnedNote
EloNYG 51%51%49%+1.0NYG 1453 vs DAL 1470, implied spread NYG −0.3
Closing spreadDAL 59%41%59%-9.8NYG +3
The blendDAL 56%44%56%-6.4

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The spot: Everything else

Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.

Dallas Cowboys over the Giants: Elo 49%, market 59%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. Prescott is worth 19 Elo.

Details

Line movement

No market prices were recorded before this game.