New York Jets at Tennessee Titans
Final, recorded 4 h ago · this page re-reads every 15 min while open
Week 1, 2026 · Sunday, Sep 13, 5:00 PM · outdoors
New York Jets1–0 · Elo 1444 · Geno Smith (+24)
23–10
Tennessee Titans
0–1 · Elo 1364 · Cam Ward (+21) · Home
Final: NYJ 23, TEN 10. Elo moved TEN 1393 → 1364 and NYJ 1416 → 1444.
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | TEN | NYJ | Points earned | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | TEN 53% | 53% | 47% | -3.1 | TEN 1393 vs NYJ 1416, implied spread TEN −0.8 |
| Closing spread | TEN 54% | 54% | 46% | -4.2 | TEN -1.5 |
| The blend | TEN 54% | 54% | 46% | -4.2 |
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The spot: Coin flips
Every model has the game between 45% and 55%. Replays: these resolved 50/50, and confident picks on them cost the most points per game. Leave the slider near 50. A wrong 65% costs more than a right one earns.
Tennessee Titans over the Jets: Elo 53%, market 54%. Coin flip: stay near 50. Ward is worth 21 Elo; Smith is worth 24 Elo.
Details
- Rest: TEN 7 days, NYJ 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: TEN +21 (Cam Ward), NYJ +24 (Geno Smith). How that works.
- Weather. No forecast was recorded for this game.
Line movement
No market prices were recorded before this game.