Week 1 predictions

San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams

Final, recorded 4 h ago · this page re-reads every 15 min while open

Week 1, 2026 · Friday, Sep 11, 12:35 AM · neutral site · dome

San Francisco 49ers
1–0 · Elo 1584 · Brock Purdy
Elo: LAR 54%Spread: LAR 60%
277
Los Angeles Rams
0–1 · Elo 1545 · Matthew Stafford · Home
Final: SF 27, LAR 7. Elo moved LAR 15781545 and SF 15511584.

What the forecasters say

ForecasterFavorsLARSFPoints earnedNote
EloLAR 54%54%46%-4.2LAR 1578 vs SF 1551, implied spread LAR −1.1
Closing spreadLAR 60%60%40%-11.0LAR -3.5
The blendLAR 59%59%41%-9.8

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The spot: Everything else

Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.

Los Angeles Rams over the 49ers: Elo 54%, market 60%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine.

Details

Line movement

No market prices were recorded before this game.