Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts
Final, recorded 3 h ago · this page re-reads every 15 min while open
Week 1, 2026 · Sunday, Sep 13, 5:00 PM · closed
Baltimore Ravens1–0 · Elo 1559 · Lamar Jackson (+15)
41–23
Indianapolis Colts
0–1 · Elo 1472 · Daniel Jones · Home
Final: BAL 41, IND 23. Elo moved IND 1502 → 1472 and BAL 1530 → 1559.
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | IND | BAL | Points earned | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | BAL 50% | 50% | 50% | +0.0 | IND 1502 vs BAL 1530, implied spread IND +0.0 |
| Closing spread | BAL 59% | 41% | 59% | +8.2 | IND +3 |
| The blend | BAL 57% | 43% | 57% | +6.5 |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Baltimore Ravens over the Colts: Elo 50%, market 59%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine.
Details
- Rest: IND 7 days, BAL 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: IND -6 (Daniel Jones), BAL +15 (Lamar Jackson). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market prices were recorded before this game.