Week 1 predictions

Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers

Final, recorded 3 h ago · this page re-reads every 15 min while open

Week 1, 2026 · Sunday, Sep 13, 5:00 PM · outdoors

Chicago Bears
1–0 · Elo 1557 · Caleb Williams
Elo: CHI 52%Spread: CHI 59%
5937
Carolina Panthers
0–1 · Elo 1431 · Bryce Young · Home
Final: CHI 59, CAR 37. Elo moved CAR 14611431 and CHI 15271557.

What the forecasters say

ForecasterFavorsCARCHIPoints earnedNote
EloCHI 52%48%52%+2.0CAR 1461 vs CHI 1527, implied spread CAR +0.4
Closing spreadCHI 59%41%59%+8.2CAR +3
The blendCHI 57%43%57%+6.5

The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.

The spot: Everything else

Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.

Chicago Bears over the Panthers: Elo 52%, market 59%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine.

Details

Line movement

No market prices were recorded before this game.