Week 11 predictions

Cincinnati Bengals at Washington Commanders

Game data updated 26 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open

Week 11, 2026 · Tuesday, Nov 24, 1:15 AM · outdoors

Cincinnati Bengals
1–0 · Elo 1505 · Joe Burrow (+17)
Elo: WSH 55%Spread: CIN 54%
Washington Commanders
0–1 · Elo 1467 · Jayden Daniels (+15) · off a bye · Home

What the forecasters say

ForecasterFavorsWSHCINNote
EloWSH 55%55%45%WSH 1467 vs CIN 1505, implied spread WSH −1.3
Closing spreadCIN 54%46%54%WSH +1.5
The blendCIN 52%48%52%

The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.

The spot: Coin flips

Every model has the game between 45% and 55%. Replays: these resolved 50/50, and confident picks on them cost the most points per game. Leave the slider near 50. A wrong 65% costs more than a right one earns.

Cincinnati Bengals over the Commanders: Elo 45%, market 54%. Coin flip: stay near 50. Burrow is worth 17 Elo; WSH off a bye.

Details

Line movement

No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.