Beat the models, one Sunday at a time. Delta Sunday is a free NFL forecasting game. Every week you set how sure you are about each game with a slider. Right and confident earns up to 25 points; wrong and confident costs up to 75. You play against everyone else and against three forecasters: Elo , a rating system built from results alone; the market , what the sportsbooks and prediction markets say; and the blend , our own, backtested on 24 seasons.
Sign in. Email and password, or a link we send you. Free.Set a number for every game. The System will suggest one; adjust only where you know something the models don't.Watch the board. Picks lock at kickoff, points land as games end, and the leaderboard shows whether you beat the market this week.Week 11 Set how sure you are for every game. Right at 100% earns 25 points, wrong at 100% costs 75, 50% scores nothing. Picks save as you go and lock at kickoff. Elo is the model you're trying to beat. The spread, sportsbooks, Kalshi and Polymarket are shown for reference, and they compete on the leaderboard too. Our lock and bold call of the week are on the Predictions page. Sign in to play.
Friday, Nov 20
IND Colts Elo: HOU 69% Spread: HOU 66% Texans HOU Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 3 pts apart
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
IND 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 HOU
Use blend 69% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Sunday, Nov 22
MIA Dolphins Elo: BUF 67% Spread: BUF 80% Bills BUF —
Elo 33%
Spread 20%
Willis (+90)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
MIA 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 BUF
Use blend 77% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
NO Saints Elo: CHI 73% Spread: CHI 69% Bears CHI —
Elo 27%
Spread 31%
Shough (-16)
no pick yet
—
Elo 73%
Spread 69%
off bye · Williams
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NO 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CHI
Use blend 70% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
TEN Titans Elo: DAL 68% Spread: DAL 69% Cowboys DAL Tight agreement · Elo and the market are under 1 pt apart
—
Elo 32%
Spread 31%
Ward (+19)
no pick yet
—
Elo 68%
Spread 69%
Prescott (+17)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
TEN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 DAL
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TB Buccaneers Elo: DET 61% Spread: DET 63% Lions DET Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 2 pts apart
—
Elo 39%
Spread 37%
Mayfield · off bye
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
TB 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 DET
Use blend 64% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
ARI Cardinals Elo: KC 72% Spread: KC 80% Chiefs KC —
Elo 28%
Spread 20%
Brissett (-40)
no pick yet
—
Elo 72%
Spread 80%
Mahomes (+46)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
ARI 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 KC
Use blend 78% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
JAX Jaguars Elo: JAX 54% Spread: JAX 54% Giants NYG —
Elo 54%
Spread 54%
Lawrence
no pick yet
—
Elo 46%
Spread 46%
off bye · Dart
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
JAX 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NYG
Use blend 46% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
BAL Ravens Elo: BAL 62% Spread: BAL 63% Panthers CAR Tight agreement · Elo and the market are under 1 pt apart
—
Elo 62%
Spread 63%
Jackson (+13)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
BAL 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CAR
Use blend 35% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
NYJ Jets Elo: LAC 61% Spread: LAC 76% Chargers LAC —
Elo 39%
Spread 24%
Smith (+22)
no pick yet
—
Elo 61%
Spread 76%
Herbert (+18)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NYJ 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 LAC
Use blend 72% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
LV Raiders Elo: DEN 68% Spread: DEN 71% Broncos DEN Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 3 pts apart
—
Elo 32%
Spread 29%
Cousins (+70)
no pick yet
—
Elo 68%
Spread 71%
off bye · Nix
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
LV 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 DEN
Use blend 72% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
PIT Steelers Elo: PHI 65% Spread: PHI 66% Eagles PHI Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 1 pts apart
—
Elo 35%
Spread 34%
Rodgers
no pick yet
—
Elo 65%
Spread 66%
off bye · Hurts (+17)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
PIT 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 PHI
Use blend 68% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Monday, Nov 23
MIN Vikings Elo: MIN 52% Spread: SF 60% 49ers SF —
Elo 52%
Spread 40%
Wentz (+43)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
MIN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 SF
Use blend 57% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Tuesday, Nov 24
CIN Bengals Elo: WSH 55% Spread: CIN 54% Commanders WSH —
Elo 45%
Spread 54%
Burrow (+17)
no pick yet
—
Elo 55%
Spread 46%
off bye · Daniels (+15)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
CIN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 WSH
Use blend 48% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.