New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears
Game data updated 11 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 11, 2026 · Sunday, Nov 22, 6:00 PM · outdoors
New Orleans Saints0–1 · Elo 1472 · Tyler Shough (-16)
Chicago Bears
1–0 · Elo 1557 · Caleb Williams · off a bye · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | CHI | NO | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | CHI 73% | 73% | 27% | CHI 1557 vs NO 1472, implied spread CHI −6.9 |
| Closing spread | CHI 69% | 69% | 31% | CHI -6.5 |
| The blend | CHI 70% | 70% | 30% |
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The spot: Clear favorite, mild disagreement
Both favor the same team by 60% or more, but they differ by 4 to 10 points. Replays: favorites won about as often as the average of the two forecasts said (no surplus either way). The blend without a bump. Nothing to exploit; take the average.
Chicago Bears over the Saints: Elo 73%, market 69%. Clear favorite, take the average. Shough is costing 16 Elo; CHI off a bye.
Details
- Rest: CHI 14 days, NO 7 days. CHI off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: CHI 0 (Caleb Williams), NO -16 (Tyler Shough). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.