Beat the models, one Sunday at a time. Delta Sunday is a free NFL forecasting game. Every week you set how sure you are about each game with a slider. Right and confident earns up to 25 points; wrong and confident costs up to 75. You play against everyone else and against three forecasters: Elo , a rating system built from results alone; the market , what the sportsbooks and prediction markets say; and the blend , our own, backtested on 24 seasons.
Sign in. Email and password, or a link we send you. Free.Set a number for every game. The System will suggest one; adjust only where you know something the models don't.Watch the board. Picks lock at kickoff, points land as games end, and the leaderboard shows whether you beat the market this week.Week 14 Set how sure you are for every game. Right at 100% earns 25 points, wrong at 100% costs 75, 50% scores nothing. Picks save as you go and lock at kickoff. Elo is the model you're trying to beat. The spread, sportsbooks, Kalshi and Polymarket are shown for reference, and they compete on the leaderboard too. Our lock and bold call of the week are on the Predictions page. Sign in to play.
Friday, Dec 11
MIN Vikings Elo: NE 52% Spread: NE 63% Patriots NE —
Elo 48%
Spread 37%
Wentz (+43)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
MIN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NE
Use blend 60% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Sunday, Dec 13
ATL Falcons Elo: CLE 59% Spread: CLE 54% Browns CLE —
Elo 41%
Spread 46%
Rush (-26)
no pick yet
—
Elo 59%
Spread 54%
Watson (+34)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
ATL 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CLE
Use blend 56% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
TEN Titans Elo: DET 74% Spread: DET 71% Lions DET Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 3 pts apart
—
Elo 26%
Spread 29%
Ward (+19)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
TEN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 DET
Use blend 74% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
CHI Bears Elo: MIA 53% Spread: CHI 66% Dolphins MIA —
Elo 47%
Spread 66%
Williams
no pick yet
—
Elo 53%
Spread 34%
Willis (+90)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
CHI 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 MIA
Use blend 39% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
DEN Broncos Elo: DEN 51% Spread: DEN 66% Jets NYJ no pick yet
—
Elo 49%
Spread 34%
off bye · Smith (+22)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
DEN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NYJ
Use blend 38% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
IND Colts Elo: PHI 66% Spread: PHI 66% Eagles PHI Tight agreement · Elo and the market are under 1 pt apart
—
Elo 34%
Spread 34%
Jones · off bye
no pick yet
—
Elo 66%
Spread 66%
Hurts (+17)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
IND 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 PHI
Use blend 68% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
HOU Texans Elo: HOU 54% Spread: HOU 54% Commanders WSH no pick yet
—
Elo 46%
Spread 46%
Daniels (+15)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
HOU 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 WSH
Use blend 46% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
NO Saints Elo: CAR 54% Spread: CAR 57% Panthers CAR —
Elo 46%
Spread 43%
Shough (-16)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NO 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CAR
Use blend 57% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
TB Buccaneers Elo: BAL 74% Spread: BAL 67% Ravens BAL —
Elo 26%
Spread 33%
Mayfield
no pick yet
—
Elo 74%
Spread 67%
off bye · Jackson (+13)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
TB 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 BAL
Use blend 69% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
LAC Chargers Elo: LV 59% Spread: LAC 66% Raiders LV —
Elo 41%
Spread 66%
Herbert (+18)
no pick yet
—
Elo 59%
Spread 34%
off bye · Cousins (+70)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
LAC 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 LV
Use blend 40% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
KC Chiefs Elo: KC 53% Spread: CIN 54% Bengals CIN —
Elo 53%
Spread 46%
Mahomes (+46) · off bye
no pick yet
—
Elo 47%
Spread 54%
Burrow (+17)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
KC 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CIN
Use blend 53% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
LAR Rams Elo: SF 59% Spread: LAR 54% 49ers SF —
Elo 41%
Spread 54%
Stafford · off bye
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
LAR 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 SF
Use blend 49% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
NYG Giants Elo: SEA 74% Spread: SEA 71% Seahawks SEA Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 3 pts apart
no pick yet
—
Elo 74%
Spread 71%
Lock (-30)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NYG 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 SEA
Use blend 74% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Monday, Dec 14
BUF Bills Elo: BUF 58% Spread: GB 54% Packers GB Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
BUF 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 GB
Use blend 51% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Tuesday, Dec 15
PIT Steelers Elo: JAX 64% Spread: JAX 59% Jaguars JAX —
Elo 36%
Spread 41%
Rodgers
no pick yet
—
Elo 64%
Spread 59%
Lawrence
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
PIT 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 JAX
Use blend 60% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.