Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders
Game data updated 15 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 14, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 13, 9:05 PM · dome
Los Angeles Chargers
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | LV | LAC | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | LV 59% | 59% | 41% | LV 1420 vs LAC 1481, implied spread LV −2.5 |
| Closing spread | LAC 66% | 34% | 66% | LV +5.5 |
| The blend | LAC 60% | 40% | 60% |
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The spot: Big disagreement
Elo and the market are 10 or more points apart. Over 24 seasons (943 games) Elo's side won 50% while Elo claimed 63% and the market 49%. The market was right almost every time. Take the market's number, or split the difference at most. This is where Elo is overconfident.
Los Angeles Chargers over the Raiders: Elo 41%, market 66%. Big disagreement: trust the market number. Cousins is worth 70 Elo; Herbert is worth 18 Elo; LV off a bye.
Details
- Rest: LV 14 days, LAC 7 days. LV off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: LV +70 (Kirk Cousins), LAC +18 (Justin Herbert). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.