Beat the models, one Sunday at a time. Delta Sunday is a free NFL forecasting game. Every week you set how sure you are about each game with a slider. Right and confident earns up to 25 points; wrong and confident costs up to 75. You play against everyone else and against three forecasters: Elo , a rating system built from results alone; the market , what the sportsbooks and prediction markets say; and the blend , our own, backtested on 24 seasons.
Sign in. Email and password, or a link we send you. Free.Set a number for every game. The System will suggest one; adjust only where you know something the models don't.Watch the board. Picks lock at kickoff, points land as games end, and the leaderboard shows whether you beat the market this week.Week 6 Set how sure you are for every game. Right at 100% earns 25 points, wrong at 100% costs 75, 50% scores nothing. Picks save as you go and lock at kickoff. Elo is the model you're trying to beat. The spread, sportsbooks, Kalshi and Polymarket are shown for reference, and they compete on the leaderboard too. Our lock and bold call of the week are on the Predictions page. Sign in to play.
Friday, Oct 16
SEA Seahawks Elo: SEA 52% Spread: SEA 54% Broncos DEN —
Elo 52%
Spread 54%
Lock (-30)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
SEA 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 DEN
Use blend 46% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Sunday, Oct 18
HOU Texans Elo: JAX 52% Spread: JAX 54% Jaguars JAX no pick yet
—
Elo 52%
Spread 54%
Lawrence
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
HOU 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 JAX
Use blend 54% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
CHI Bears Elo: CHI 60% Spread: CHI 59% Falcons ATL Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 1 pts apart
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Elo 60%
Spread 59%
Williams
no pick yet
—
Elo 40%
Spread 41%
Rush (-26)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
CHI 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 ATL
Use blend 39% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
BAL Ravens Elo: BAL 60% Spread: BAL 69% Browns CLE —
Elo 60%
Spread 69%
Jackson (+13)
no pick yet
—
Elo 40%
Spread 31%
Watson (+34)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
BAL 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CLE
Use blend 34% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
TEN Titans Elo: IND 68% Spread: IND 60% Colts IND —
Elo 32%
Spread 40%
Ward (+19)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
TEN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 IND
Use blend 62% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
NYJ Jets Elo: NE 70% Spread: NE 76% Patriots NE —
Elo 30%
Spread 24%
Smith (+22)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NYJ 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NE
Use blend 74% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
NO Saints Elo: NYG 59% Spread: NYG 57% Giants NYG Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 2 pts apart
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Elo 41%
Spread 43%
Shough (-16)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NO 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NYG
Use blend 60% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
CAR Panthers Elo: PHI 69% Spread: PHI 69% Eagles PHI Tight agreement · Elo and the market are under 1 pt apart
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Elo 31%
Spread 31%
Young · off bye
no pick yet
—
Elo 69%
Spread 69%
Hurts (+17)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
CAR 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 PHI
Use blend 71% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
PIT Steelers Elo: TB 52% Spread: TB 54% Buccaneers TB —
Elo 48%
Spread 46%
Rodgers
no pick yet
—
Elo 52%
Spread 54%
off bye · Mayfield
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
PIT 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 TB
Use blend 54% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
ARI Cardinals Elo: LAR 70% Spread: LAR 84% Rams LAR —
Elo 30%
Spread 16%
Brissett (-40)
no pick yet
—
Elo 70%
Spread 84%
Stafford
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
ARI 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 LAR
Use blend 81% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
LAC Chargers Elo: KC 69% Spread: KC 57% Chiefs KC —
Elo 31%
Spread 43%
Herbert (+18)
no pick yet
—
Elo 69%
Spread 57%
off bye · Mahomes (+46)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
LAC 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 KC
Use blend 60% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
BUF Bills Elo: BUF 59% Spread: BUF 69% Raiders LV no pick yet
—
Elo 41%
Spread 31%
Cousins (+70)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
BUF 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 LV
Use blend 34% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Monday, Oct 19
DAL Cowboys Elo: GB 58% Spread: GB 59% Packers GB Tight agreement · Elo and the market are under 1 pt apart
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Elo 42%
Spread 41%
Prescott (+17) · off bye
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
DAL 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 GB
Use blend 61% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Tuesday, Oct 20
WSH Commanders Elo: SF 70% Spread: SF 66% 49ers SF —
Elo 30%
Spread 34%
Daniels (+15)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
WSH 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 SF
Use blend 67% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.