Beat the models, one Sunday at a time. Delta Sunday is a free NFL forecasting game. Every week you set how sure you are about each game with a slider. Right and confident earns up to 25 points; wrong and confident costs up to 75. You play against everyone else and against three forecasters: Elo , a rating system built from results alone; the market , what the sportsbooks and prediction markets say; and the blend , our own, backtested on 24 seasons.
Sign in. Email and password, or a link we send you. Free.Set a number for every game. The System will suggest one; adjust only where you know something the models don't.Watch the board. Picks lock at kickoff, points land as games end, and the leaderboard shows whether you beat the market this week.Week 9 Set how sure you are for every game. Right at 100% earns 25 points, wrong at 100% costs 75, 50% scores nothing. Picks save as you go and lock at kickoff. Elo is the model you're trying to beat. The spread, sportsbooks, Kalshi and Polymarket are shown for reference, and they compete on the leaderboard too. Our lock and bold call of the week are on the Predictions page. Sign in to play.
Friday, Nov 6
JAX Jaguars Elo: BAL 57% Spread: BAL 63% Ravens BAL —
Elo 43%
Spread 37%
Lawrence
no pick yet
—
Elo 57%
Spread 63%
Jackson (+13)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
JAX 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 BAL
Use blend 61% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Sunday, Nov 8
CIN Bengals Elo: CIN 62% Spread: CIN 66% Falcons ATL —
Elo 62%
Spread 66%
Burrow (+17)
no pick yet
—
Elo 38%
Spread 34%
Rush (-26)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
CIN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 ATL
Use blend 35% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
DAL Cowboys Elo: IND 57% Spread: DAL 54% Colts IND —
Elo 43%
Spread 54%
Prescott (+17)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
DAL 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 IND
Use blend 48% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
NYJ Jets Elo: KC 70% Spread: KC 76% Chiefs KC —
Elo 30%
Spread 24%
Smith (+22)
no pick yet
—
Elo 70%
Spread 76%
Mahomes (+46)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NYJ 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 KC
Use blend 74% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
DET Lions Elo: MIA 58% Spread: DET 69% Dolphins MIA no pick yet
—
Elo 58%
Spread 31%
Willis (+90)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
DET 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 MIA
Use blend 38% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
CLE Browns Elo: NO 60% Spread: NO 60% Saints NO Tight agreement · Elo and the market are under 1 pt apart
—
Elo 40%
Spread 40%
Watson (+34)
no pick yet
—
Elo 60%
Spread 60%
off bye · Shough (-16)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
CLE 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NO
Use blend 62% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
NYG Giants Elo: PHI 65% Spread: PHI 66% Eagles PHI Tight agreement · Elo and the market are under 1 pt apart
—
Elo 35%
Spread 34%
Dart · off bye
no pick yet
—
Elo 65%
Spread 66%
Hurts (+17)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NYG 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 PHI
Use blend 68% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
LAR Rams Elo: LAR 52% Spread: LAR 66% Commanders WSH —
Elo 52%
Spread 66%
Stafford
no pick yet
—
Elo 48%
Spread 34%
Daniels (+15)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
LAR 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 WSH
Use blend 38% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
DEN Broncos Elo: DEN 55% Spread: DEN 59% Panthers CAR Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 4 pts apart
no pick yet
—
Elo 45%
Spread 41%
off bye · Young
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
DEN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CAR
Use blend 40% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
HOU Texans Elo: HOU 55% Spread: LAC 57% Chargers LAC —
Elo 55%
Spread 43%
Stroud · off bye
no pick yet
—
Elo 45%
Spread 57%
Herbert (+18)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
HOU 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 LAC
Use blend 54% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
LV Raiders Elo: SF 72% Spread: SF 74% 49ers SF Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 1 pts apart
—
Elo 28%
Spread 26%
Cousins (+70)
no pick yet
—
Elo 72%
Spread 74%
off bye · Purdy
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
LV 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 SF
Use blend 75% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
GB Packers Elo: NE 62% Spread: NE 54% Patriots NE —
Elo 38%
Spread 46%
Love · off bye
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
GB 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NE
Use blend 56% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
ARI Cardinals Elo: SEA 76% Spread: SEA 84% Seahawks SEA —
Elo 24%
Spread 16%
Brissett (-40)
no pick yet
—
Elo 76%
Spread 84%
Lock (-30)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
ARI 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 SEA
Use blend 82% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Monday, Nov 9
TB Buccaneers Elo: CHI 69% Spread: CHI 60% Bears CHI —
Elo 31%
Spread 40%
Mayfield
no pick yet
—
Elo 69%
Spread 60%
Williams
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
TB 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CHI
Use blend 62% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Tuesday, Nov 10
BUF Bills Elo: MIN 56% Spread: BUF 59% Vikings MIN no pick yet
—
Elo 56%
Spread 41%
Wentz (+43)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
BUF 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 MIN
Use blend 45% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.