Beat the models, one Sunday at a time.

Delta Sunday is a free NFL forecasting game. Every week you set how sure you are about each game with a slider. Right and confident earns up to 25 points; wrong and confident costs up to 75. You play against everyone else and against three forecasters: Elo, a rating system built from results alone; the market, what the sportsbooks and prediction markets say; and the blend, our own, backtested on 24 seasons.

  1. Sign in. Email and password, or a link we send you. Free.
  2. Set a number for every game. The System will suggest one; adjust only where you know something the models don't.
  3. Watch the board. Picks lock at kickoff, points land as games end, and the leaderboard shows whether you beat the market this week.

Week 10

Set how sure you are for every game. Right at 100% earns 25 points, wrong at 100% costs 75, 50% scores nothing. Picks save as you go and lock at kickoff. Elo is the model you're trying to beat. The spread, sportsbooks, Kalshi and Polymarket are shown for reference, and they compete on the leaderboard too. Our lock and bold call of the week are on the Predictions page. Sign in to play.

Friday, Nov 13
WSHCommanders
Elo: NYG 55%Spread: NYG 54%
GiantsNYG
Away1:15 AMHome
Elo 45%
Spread 46%
Daniels (+15)
no pick yet
Elo 55%
Spread 54%
Dart
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
WSHNYG
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Sunday, Nov 15
NEPatriots
Elo: NE 57%Spread: DET 54%
LionsDET
Neutral site2:30 PM
Elo 57%
Spread 46%
Maye
no pick yet
Elo 43%
Spread 54%
Goff
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NEDET
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KCChiefs
Elo: KC 61%Spread: KC 63%
FalconsATL
Away6:00 PMHome
Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 2 pts apart
Elo 61%
Spread 63%
Mahomes (+46)
no pick yet
Elo 39%
Spread 37%
Rush (-26)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
KCATL
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HOUTexans
Elo: HOU 57%Spread: HOU 63%
BrownsCLE
Away6:00 PMHome
Elo 57%
Spread 63%
Stroud
no pick yet
Elo 43%
Spread 37%
Watson (+34)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
HOUCLE
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MINVikings
Elo: MIN 57%Spread: GB 63%
PackersGB
Away6:00 PMHome
Elo 57%
Spread 37%
Wentz (+43)
no pick yet
Elo 43%
Spread 63%
Love
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MINGB
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JAXJaguars
Elo: JAX 69%Spread: JAX 57%
TitansTEN
Away6:00 PMHome
Elo 69%
Spread 57%
Lawrence · off bye
no pick yet
Elo 31%
Spread 43%
off bye · Ward (+19)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
JAXTEN
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MIADolphins
Elo: MIA 52%Spread: IND 69%
ColtsIND
Away6:00 PMHome
Elo 52%
Spread 31%
Willis (+90)
no pick yet
Elo 48%
Spread 69%
Jones
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MIAIND
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CARPanthers
Elo: NO 60%Spread: NO 54%
SaintsNO
Away6:00 PMHome
Elo 40%
Spread 46%
Young
no pick yet
Elo 60%
Spread 54%
Shough (-16)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
CARNO
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BUFBills
Elo: BUF 62%Spread: BUF 70%
JetsNYJ
Away6:00 PMHome
Elo 62%
Spread 70%
Allen
no pick yet
Elo 38%
Spread 30%
Smith (+22)
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BUFNYJ
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SEASeahawks
Elo: SEA 60%Spread: SEA 70%
RaidersLV
Away9:05 PMHome
Elo 60%
Spread 70%
Lock (-30)
no pick yet
Elo 40%
Spread 30%
Cousins (+70)
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SEALV
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LARRams
Elo: LAR 57%Spread: LAR 78%
CardinalsARI
Away9:05 PMHome
Elo 57%
Spread 78%
Stafford
no pick yet
Elo 43%
Spread 22%
Brissett (-40)
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LARARI
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SF49ers
Elo: SF 60%Spread: DAL 54%
CowboysDAL
Away9:25 PMHome
Elo 60%
Spread 46%
Purdy
no pick yet
Elo 40%
Spread 54%
Prescott (+17)
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SFDAL
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Monday, Nov 16
PITSteelers
Elo: CIN 53%Spread: CIN 60%
BengalsCIN
Away1:20 AMHome
Elo 47%
Spread 40%
Rodgers · off bye
no pick yet
Elo 53%
Spread 60%
Burrow (+17)
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PITCIN
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Tuesday, Nov 17
LACChargers
Elo: BAL 70%Spread: BAL 60%
RavensBAL
Away1:15 AMHome
Elo 30%
Spread 40%
Herbert (+18)
no pick yet
Elo 70%
Spread 60%
off bye · Jackson (+13)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
LACBAL
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