Beat the models, one Sunday at a time. Delta Sunday is a free NFL forecasting game. Every week you set how sure you are about each game with a slider. Right and confident earns up to 25 points; wrong and confident costs up to 75. You play against everyone else and against three forecasters: Elo , a rating system built from results alone; the market , what the sportsbooks and prediction markets say; and the blend , our own, backtested on 24 seasons.
Sign in. Email and password, or a link we send you. Free.Set a number for every game. The System will suggest one; adjust only where you know something the models don't.Watch the board. Picks lock at kickoff, points land as games end, and the leaderboard shows whether you beat the market this week.Week 10 Set how sure you are for every game. Right at 100% earns 25 points, wrong at 100% costs 75, 50% scores nothing. Picks save as you go and lock at kickoff. Elo is the model you're trying to beat. The spread, sportsbooks, Kalshi and Polymarket are shown for reference, and they compete on the leaderboard too. Our lock and bold call of the week are on the Predictions page. Sign in to play.
Friday, Nov 13
WSH Commanders Elo: NYG 55% Spread: NYG 54% Giants NYG —
Elo 45%
Spread 46%
Daniels (+15)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
WSH 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NYG
Use blend 55% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Sunday, Nov 15
NE Patriots Elo: NE 57% Spread: DET 54% Lions DET Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NE 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 DET
Use blend 52% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
KC Chiefs Elo: KC 61% Spread: KC 63% Falcons ATL Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 2 pts apart
—
Elo 61%
Spread 63%
Mahomes (+46)
no pick yet
—
Elo 39%
Spread 37%
Rush (-26)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
KC 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 ATL
Use blend 35% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
HOU Texans Elo: HOU 57% Spread: HOU 63% Browns CLE no pick yet
—
Elo 43%
Spread 37%
Watson (+34)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
HOU 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CLE
Use blend 38% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
MIN Vikings Elo: MIN 57% Spread: GB 63% Packers GB —
Elo 57%
Spread 37%
Wentz (+43)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
MIN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 GB
Use blend 58% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
JAX Jaguars Elo: JAX 69% Spread: JAX 57% Titans TEN —
Elo 69%
Spread 57%
Lawrence · off bye
no pick yet
—
Elo 31%
Spread 43%
off bye · Ward (+19)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
JAX 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 TEN
Use blend 40% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
MIA Dolphins Elo: MIA 52% Spread: IND 69% Colts IND —
Elo 52%
Spread 31%
Willis (+90)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
MIA 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 IND
Use blend 63% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
CAR Panthers Elo: NO 60% Spread: NO 54% Saints NO no pick yet
—
Elo 60%
Spread 54%
Shough (-16)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
CAR 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NO
Use blend 56% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
BUF Bills Elo: BUF 62% Spread: BUF 70% Jets NYJ no pick yet
—
Elo 38%
Spread 30%
Smith (+22)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
BUF 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NYJ
Use blend 32% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
SEA Seahawks Elo: SEA 60% Spread: SEA 70% Raiders LV —
Elo 60%
Spread 70%
Lock (-30)
no pick yet
—
Elo 40%
Spread 30%
Cousins (+70)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
SEA 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 LV
Use blend 33% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
LAR Rams Elo: LAR 57% Spread: LAR 78% Cardinals ARI —
Elo 57%
Spread 78%
Stafford
no pick yet
—
Elo 43%
Spread 22%
Brissett (-40)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
LAR 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 ARI
Use blend 27% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
SF 49ers Elo: SF 60% Spread: DAL 54% Cowboys DAL no pick yet
—
Elo 40%
Spread 54%
Prescott (+17)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
SF 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 DAL
Use blend 51% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Monday, Nov 16
PIT Steelers Elo: CIN 53% Spread: CIN 60% Bengals CIN —
Elo 47%
Spread 40%
Rodgers · off bye
no pick yet
—
Elo 53%
Spread 60%
Burrow (+17)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
PIT 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CIN
Use blend 58% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Tuesday, Nov 17
LAC Chargers Elo: BAL 70% Spread: BAL 60% Ravens BAL —
Elo 30%
Spread 40%
Herbert (+18)
no pick yet
—
Elo 70%
Spread 60%
off bye · Jackson (+13)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
LAC 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 BAL
Use blend 63% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.