Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals
Game data updated 15 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 10, 2026 · Sunday, Nov 15, 9:05 PM · closed
Los Angeles Rams0–1 · Elo 1545 · Matthew Stafford
Arizona Cardinals
1–0 · Elo 1488 · Jacoby Brissett (-40) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | ARI | LAR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | LAR 57% | 43% | 57% | ARI 1488 vs LAR 1545, implied spread ARI +1.9 |
| Closing spread | LAR 78% | 22% | 78% | ARI +10.5 |
| The blend | LAR 73% | 27% | 73% |
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The spot: Big disagreement
Elo and the market are 10 or more points apart. Over 24 seasons (943 games) Elo's side won 50% while Elo claimed 63% and the market 49%. The market was right almost every time. Take the market's number, or split the difference at most. This is where Elo is overconfident.
Los Angeles Rams over the Cardinals: Elo 57%, market 78%. Big disagreement: trust the market number. Brissett is costing 40 Elo.
Details
- Rest: ARI 7 days, LAR 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: ARI -40 (Jacoby Brissett), LAR 0 (Matthew Stafford). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.