Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens
Game data updated 12 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 10, 2026 · Tuesday, Nov 17, 1:15 AM · outdoors
Los Angeles Chargers0–1 · Elo 1481 · Justin Herbert (+18)
Baltimore Ravens
1–0 · Elo 1559 · Lamar Jackson (+13) · off a bye · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | BAL | LAC | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | BAL 70% | 70% | 30% | BAL 1559 vs LAC 1481, implied spread BAL −5.8 |
| Closing spread | BAL 60% | 60% | 40% | BAL -3.5 |
| The blend | BAL 63% | 63% | 37% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Clear favorite, mild disagreement
Both favor the same team by 60% or more, but they differ by 4 to 10 points. Replays: favorites won about as often as the average of the two forecasts said (no surplus either way). The blend without a bump. Nothing to exploit; take the average.
Baltimore Ravens over the Chargers: Elo 70%, market 60%. Clear favorite, take the average. Herbert is worth 18 Elo; BAL off a bye.
Details
- Rest: BAL 11 days, LAC 8 days. BAL off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: BAL +13 (Lamar Jackson), LAC +18 (Justin Herbert). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Tuesday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.