Beat the models, one Sunday at a time.

Delta Sunday is a free NFL forecasting game. Every week you set how sure you are about each game with a slider. Right and confident earns up to 25 points; wrong and confident costs up to 75. You play against everyone else and against three forecasters: Elo, a rating system built from results alone; the market, what the sportsbooks and prediction markets say; and the blend, our own, backtested on 24 seasons.

  1. Sign in. Email and password, or a link we send you. Free.
  2. Set a number for every game. The System will suggest one; adjust only where you know something the models don't.
  3. Watch the board. Picks lock at kickoff, points land as games end, and the leaderboard shows whether you beat the market this week.

Week 8

Set how sure you are for every game. Right at 100% earns 25 points, wrong at 100% costs 75, 50% scores nothing. Picks save as you go and lock at kickoff. Elo is the model you're trying to beat. The spread, sportsbooks, Kalshi and Polymarket are shown for reference, and they compete on the leaderboard too. Our lock and bold call of the week are on the Predictions page. Sign in to play.

Friday, Oct 30
CARPanthers
Elo: GB 66%Spread: GB 70%
PackersGB
Away12:15 AMHome
Elo 34%
Spread 30%
Young
no pick yet
Elo 66%
Spread 70%
Love
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
CARGB
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Sunday, Nov 1
BALRavens
Elo: BUF 64%Spread: BUF 57%
BillsBUF
Away6:00 PMHome
Elo 36%
Spread 43%
Jackson (+13)
no pick yet
Elo 64%
Spread 57%
off bye · Allen
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BALBUF
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TENTitans
Elo: CIN 74%Spread: CIN 69%
BengalsCIN
Away6:00 PMHome
Elo 26%
Spread 31%
Ward (+19)
no pick yet
Elo 74%
Spread 69%
Burrow (+17)
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TENCIN
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ARICardinals
Elo: DAL 59%Spread: DAL 78%
CowboysDAL
Away6:00 PMHome
Elo 41%
Spread 22%
Brissett (-40)
no pick yet
Elo 59%
Spread 78%
Prescott (+17)
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ARIDAL
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MINVikings
Elo: MIN 54%Spread: DET 63%
LionsDET
Away6:00 PMHome
Elo 54%
Spread 37%
Wentz (+43)
no pick yet
Elo 46%
Spread 63%
Goff
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MINDET
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LVRaiders
Elo: NYJ 53%Spread: NYJ 54%
JetsNYJ
Away6:00 PMHome
Elo 47%
Spread 46%
Cousins (+70)
no pick yet
Elo 53%
Spread 54%
Smith (+22)
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LVNYJ
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CLEBrowns
Elo: PIT 66%Spread: PIT 67%
SteelersPIT
Away6:00 PMHome
Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 1 pts apart
Elo 34%
Spread 33%
Watson (+34)
no pick yet
Elo 66%
Spread 67%
Rodgers
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CLEPIT
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ATLFalcons
Elo: TB 61%Spread: TB 63%
BuccaneersTB
Away6:00 PMHome
Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 2 pts apart
Elo 39%
Spread 37%
Rush (-26)
no pick yet
Elo 61%
Spread 63%
Mayfield
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ATLTB
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INDColts
Elo: JAX 74%Spread: JAX 63%
JaguarsJAX
Away6:00 PMHome
Elo 26%
Spread 37%
Jones
no pick yet
Elo 74%
Spread 63%
off bye · Lawrence
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INDJAX
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LACChargers
Elo: LAR 60%Spread: LAR 63%
RamsLAR
Away9:05 PMHome
Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 3 pts apart
Elo 40%
Spread 37%
Herbert (+18) · off bye
no pick yet
Elo 60%
Spread 63%
Stafford
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LACLAR
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KCChiefs
Elo: DEN 54%Spread: DEN 54%
BroncosDEN
Away9:25 PMHome
Elo 46%
Spread 46%
Mahomes (+46)
no pick yet
Elo 54%
Spread 54%
Nix
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KCDEN
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NEPatriots
Elo: NE 52%Spread: NE 70%
DolphinsMIA
Away9:25 PMHome
Elo 52%
Spread 70%
Maye · off bye
no pick yet
Elo 48%
Spread 30%
Willis (+90)
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NEMIA
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Monday, Nov 2
PHIEagles
Elo: PHI 50%Spread: PHI 54%
CommandersWSH
Away1:20 AMHome
Elo 50%
Spread 54%
Hurts (+17)
no pick yet
Elo 50%
Spread 46%
off bye · Daniels (+15)
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PHIWSH
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Tuesday, Nov 3
CHIBears
Elo: SEA 60%Spread: SEA 63%
SeahawksSEA
Away1:15 AMHome
Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 3 pts apart
Elo 40%
Spread 37%
Williams · off bye
no pick yet
Elo 60%
Spread 63%
Lock (-30)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
CHISEA
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