Beat the models, one Sunday at a time. Delta Sunday is a free NFL forecasting game. Every week you set how sure you are about each game with a slider. Right and confident earns up to 25 points; wrong and confident costs up to 75. You play against everyone else and against three forecasters: Elo , a rating system built from results alone; the market , what the sportsbooks and prediction markets say; and the blend , our own, backtested on 24 seasons.
Sign in. Email and password, or a link we send you. Free.Set a number for every game. The System will suggest one; adjust only where you know something the models don't.Watch the board. Picks lock at kickoff, points land as games end, and the leaderboard shows whether you beat the market this week.Week 8 Set how sure you are for every game. Right at 100% earns 25 points, wrong at 100% costs 75, 50% scores nothing. Picks save as you go and lock at kickoff. Elo is the model you're trying to beat. The spread, sportsbooks, Kalshi and Polymarket are shown for reference, and they compete on the leaderboard too. Our lock and bold call of the week are on the Predictions page. Sign in to play.
Friday, Oct 30
CAR Panthers Elo: GB 66% Spread: GB 70% Packers GB Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
CAR 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 GB
Use blend 69% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Sunday, Nov 1
BAL Ravens Elo: BUF 64% Spread: BUF 57% Bills BUF —
Elo 36%
Spread 43%
Jackson (+13)
no pick yet
—
Elo 64%
Spread 57%
off bye · Allen
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
BAL 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 BUF
Use blend 59% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
TEN Titans Elo: CIN 74% Spread: CIN 69% Bengals CIN —
Elo 26%
Spread 31%
Ward (+19)
no pick yet
—
Elo 74%
Spread 69%
Burrow (+17)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
TEN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CIN
Use blend 70% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
ARI Cardinals Elo: DAL 59% Spread: DAL 78% Cowboys DAL —
Elo 41%
Spread 22%
Brissett (-40)
no pick yet
—
Elo 59%
Spread 78%
Prescott (+17)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
ARI 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 DAL
Use blend 74% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
MIN Vikings Elo: MIN 54% Spread: DET 63% Lions DET —
Elo 54%
Spread 37%
Wentz (+43)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
MIN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 DET
Use blend 59% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
LV Raiders Elo: NYJ 53% Spread: NYJ 54% Jets NYJ —
Elo 47%
Spread 46%
Cousins (+70)
no pick yet
—
Elo 53%
Spread 54%
Smith (+22)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
LV 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NYJ
Use blend 54% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
CLE Browns Elo: PIT 66% Spread: PIT 67% Steelers PIT Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 1 pts apart
—
Elo 34%
Spread 33%
Watson (+34)
no pick yet
—
Elo 66%
Spread 67%
Rodgers
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
CLE 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 PIT
Use blend 69% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
ATL Falcons Elo: TB 61% Spread: TB 63% Buccaneers TB Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 2 pts apart
—
Elo 39%
Spread 37%
Rush (-26)
no pick yet
—
Elo 61%
Spread 63%
Mayfield
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
ATL 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 TB
Use blend 65% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
IND Colts Elo: JAX 74% Spread: JAX 63% Jaguars JAX no pick yet
—
Elo 74%
Spread 63%
off bye · Lawrence
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
IND 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 JAX
Use blend 66% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
LAC Chargers Elo: LAR 60% Spread: LAR 63% Rams LAR Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 3 pts apart
—
Elo 40%
Spread 37%
Herbert (+18) · off bye
no pick yet
—
Elo 60%
Spread 63%
Stafford
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
LAC 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 LAR
Use blend 64% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
KC Chiefs Elo: DEN 54% Spread: DEN 54% Broncos DEN —
Elo 46%
Spread 46%
Mahomes (+46)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
KC 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 DEN
Use blend 54% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
NE Patriots Elo: NE 52% Spread: NE 70% Dolphins MIA —
Elo 52%
Spread 70%
Maye · off bye
no pick yet
—
Elo 48%
Spread 30%
Willis (+90)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NE 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 MIA
Use blend 35% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Monday, Nov 2
PHI Eagles Elo: PHI 50% Spread: PHI 54% Commanders WSH —
Elo 50%
Spread 54%
Hurts (+17)
no pick yet
—
Elo 50%
Spread 46%
off bye · Daniels (+15)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
PHI 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 WSH
Use blend 47% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Tuesday, Nov 3
CHI Bears Elo: SEA 60% Spread: SEA 63% Seahawks SEA Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 3 pts apart
—
Elo 40%
Spread 37%
Williams · off bye
no pick yet
—
Elo 60%
Spread 63%
Lock (-30)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
CHI 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 SEA
Use blend 64% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.