Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks
Game data updated 11 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 8, 2026 · Tuesday, Nov 3, 1:15 AM · outdoors
Chicago Bears1–0 · Elo 1557 · Caleb Williams · off a bye
Seattle Seahawks
1–0 · Elo 1636 · Drew Lock (-30) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | SEA | CHI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | SEA 60% | 60% | 40% | SEA 1636 vs CHI 1557, implied spread SEA −2.9 |
| Closing spread | SEA 63% | 63% | 37% | SEA -4.5 |
| The blend | SEA 64% | 64% | 36% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Seattle Seahawks over the Bears: Elo 60%, market 63%. Tight agreement: go above both. Lock is costing 30 Elo; CHI off a bye.
Details
- Rest: SEA 8 days, CHI 11 days. CHI off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: SEA -30 (Drew Lock), CHI 0 (Caleb Williams). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Tuesday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.