Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills
Game data updated 15 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 8, 2026 · Sunday, Nov 1, 6:00 PM · outdoors
Baltimore Ravens1–0 · Elo 1559 · Lamar Jackson (+13)
Buffalo Bills
2–0 · Elo 1612 · Josh Allen · off a bye · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | BUF | BAL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | BUF 64% | 64% | 36% | BUF 1612 vs BAL 1559, implied spread BUF −4.1 |
| Closing spread | BUF 57% | 57% | 43% | BUF -2.5 |
| The blend | BUF 59% | 59% | 41% |
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The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Buffalo Bills over the Ravens: Elo 64%, market 57%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. BUF off a bye.
Details
- Rest: BUF 14 days, BAL 7 days. BUF off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: BUF -9 (Josh Allen), BAL +13 (Lamar Jackson). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.