Beat the models, one Sunday at a time.

Delta Sunday is a free NFL forecasting game. Every week you set how sure you are about each game with a slider. Right and confident earns up to 25 points; wrong and confident costs up to 75. You play against everyone else and against three forecasters: Elo, a rating system built from results alone; the market, what the sportsbooks and prediction markets say; and the blend, our own, backtested on 24 seasons.

Sign in. Email and password, or a link we send you. Free.
Set a number for every game. The System will suggest one; adjust only where you know something the models don't.
Watch the board. Picks lock at kickoff, points land as games end, and the leaderboard shows whether you beat the market this week.

Create a free account How it works See this week's numbers

Week 17

Set how sure you are for every game. Right at 100% earns 25 points, wrong at 100% costs 75, 50% scores nothing. Picks save as you go and lock at kickoff. Elo is the model you're trying to beat. The spread, sportsbooks, Kalshi and Polymarket are shown for reference, and they compete on the leaderboard too. Our lock and bold call of the week are on the Predictions page. Sign in to play.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Wild Card Divisional Conf. Champ.Super Bowl

Friday, Jan 1

BALRavens

BengalsCIN

Away1:15 AMHome

—

Elo 50%

Spread 43%

Jackson (+13)

no pick yet

—

Elo 50%

Spread 57%

Burrow (+17)

Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.

BALCIN

Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.

Sunday, Jan 3

DENBroncos

PatriotsNE

Away5:00 AMHome

Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 2 pts apart

—

Elo 41%

Spread 43%

Nix

no pick yet

—

Elo 59%

Spread 57%

Maye

Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.

DENNE

Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.

KCChiefs

ChargersLAC

Away5:00 AMHome

—

Elo 52%

Spread 46%

Mahomes (+46)

no pick yet

—

Elo 48%

Spread 54%

Herbert (+18)

Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.

KCLAC

Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.

LARRams

BuccaneersTB

Away5:00 AMHome

—

Elo 54%

Spread 63%

Stafford

no pick yet

—

Elo 46%

Spread 37%

Mayfield

Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.

LARTB

Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.

WSHCommanders

JaguarsJAX

Away5:00 AMHome

—

Elo 31%

Spread 40%

Daniels (+15)

no pick yet

—

Elo 69%

Spread 60%

Lawrence

Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.

WSHJAX

Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.

NOSaints

FalconsATL

Away6:00 PMHome

—

Elo 46%

Spread 46%

Shough (-16)

no pick yet

—

Elo 54%

Spread 54%

Rush (-26)

Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.

NOATL

Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.

INDColts

BrownsCLE

Away6:00 PMHome

—

Elo 44%

Spread 57%

Jones

no pick yet

—

Elo 56%

Spread 43%

Watson (+34)

Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.

INDCLE

Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.

NYGGiants

CowboysDAL

Away6:00 PMHome

—

Elo 44%

Spread 37%

Dart

no pick yet

—

Elo 56%

Spread 63%

Prescott (+17)

Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.

NYGDAL

Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.

PITSteelers

TitansTEN

Away6:00 PMHome

—

Elo 63%

Spread 54%

Rodgers

no pick yet

—

Elo 37%

Spread 46%

Ward (+19)

Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.

PITTEN

Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.

BUFBills

DolphinsMIA

Away6:00 PMHome

—

Elo 54%

Spread 71%

Allen

no pick yet

—

Elo 46%

Spread 29%

Willis (+90)

Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.

BUFMIA

Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.

MINVikings

JetsNYJ

Away6:00 PMHome

Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 2 pts apart

—

Elo 62%

Spread 60%

Wentz (+43)

no pick yet

—

Elo 38%

Spread 40%

Smith (+22)

Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.

MINNYJ

Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.

SEASeahawks

PanthersCAR

Away6:00 PMHome

Tight agreement · Elo and the market are under 1 pt apart

—

Elo 67%

Spread 66%

Lock (-30)

no pick yet

—

Elo 33%

Spread 34%

Young

Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.

SEACAR

Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.

LVRaiders

CardinalsARI

Away9:05 PMHome

—

Elo 49%

Spread 54%

Cousins (+70)

no pick yet

—

Elo 51%

Spread 46%

Brissett (-40)

Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.

LVARI

Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.

DETLions

BearsCHI

Away9:25 PMHome

—

Elo 38%

Spread 46%

Goff

no pick yet

—

Elo 62%

Spread 54%

Williams

Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.

DETCHI

Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.

Monday, Jan 4

PHIEagles

49ersSF

Away1:20 AMHome

—

Elo 43%

Spread 46%

Hurts (+17) · off bye

no pick yet

—

Elo 57%

Spread 54%

Purdy

Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.

PHISF

Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.

Tuesday, Jan 5

HOUTexans

PackersGB

Away1:15 AMHome

—

Elo 51%

Spread 43%

Stroud · off bye

no pick yet

—

Elo 49%

Spread 57%

off bye · Love

Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.

HOUGB

Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.