Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears
Game data updated 14 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 17, 2026 · Sunday, Jan 3, 9:25 PM · outdoors
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | CHI | DET | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | CHI 62% | 62% | 38% | CHI 1557 vs DET 1519, implied spread CHI −3.4 |
| Closing spread | CHI 54% | 54% | 46% | CHI -1.5 |
| The blend | CHI 56% | 56% | 44% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Chicago Bears over the Lions: Elo 62%, market 54%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine.
Details
- Rest: CHI 9 days, DET 6 days.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.