Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers
Game data updated 11 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 17, 2026 · Monday, Jan 4, 1:20 AM · outdoors
Philadelphia Eagles1–0 · Elo 1539 · Jalen Hurts (+17) · off a bye
San Francisco 49ers
1–0 · Elo 1584 · Brock Purdy · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | SF | PHI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | SF 57% | 57% | 43% | SF 1584 vs PHI 1539, implied spread SF −2.0 |
| Closing spread | SF 54% | 54% | 46% | SF -1.5 |
| The blend | SF 55% | 55% | 45% |
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The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
San Francisco 49ers over the Eagles: Elo 57%, market 54%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. Hurts is worth 17 Elo; PHI off a bye.
Details
- Rest: SF 7 days, PHI 10 days. PHI off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: SF -1 (Brock Purdy), PHI +17 (Jalen Hurts). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Monday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.