New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys
Game data updated 15 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 17, 2026 · Sunday, Jan 3, 6:00 PM · closed
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | DAL | NYG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | DAL 56% | 56% | 44% | DAL 1449 vs NYG 1474, implied spread DAL −1.8 |
| Closing spread | DAL 63% | 63% | 37% | DAL -4.5 |
| The blend | DAL 61% | 61% | 39% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Dallas Cowboys over the Giants: Elo 56%, market 63%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. Prescott is worth 17 Elo.
Details
- Rest: DAL 7 days, NYG 6 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: DAL +17 (Dak Prescott), NYG -4 (Jaxson Dart). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.