Beat the models, one Sunday at a time. Delta Sunday is a free NFL forecasting game. Every week you set how sure you are about each game with a slider. Right and confident earns up to 25 points; wrong and confident costs up to 75. You play against everyone else and against three forecasters: Elo , a rating system built from results alone; the market , what the sportsbooks and prediction markets say; and the blend , our own, backtested on 24 seasons.
Sign in. Email and password, or a link we send you. Free.Set a number for every game. The System will suggest one; adjust only where you know something the models don't.Watch the board. Picks lock at kickoff, points land as games end, and the leaderboard shows whether you beat the market this week.Week 7 Set how sure you are for every game. Right at 100% earns 25 points, wrong at 100% costs 75, 50% scores nothing. Picks save as you go and lock at kickoff. Elo is the model you're trying to beat. The spread, sportsbooks, Kalshi and Polymarket are shown for reference, and they compete on the leaderboard too. Our lock and bold call of the week are on the Predictions page. Sign in to play.
Friday, Oct 23
NE Patriots Elo: CHI 56% Spread: CHI 54% Bears CHI no pick yet
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Elo 56%
Spread 54%
Williams
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NE 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CHI
Use blend 55% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Sunday, Oct 25
PIT Steelers Elo: PIT 60% Spread: PIT 57% Saints NO Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 2 pts apart
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Elo 60%
Spread 57%
Rodgers
no pick yet
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Elo 40%
Spread 43%
Shough (-16)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
PIT 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NO
Use blend 40% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
SF 49ers Elo: SF 64% Spread: SF 63% Falcons ATL Tight agreement · Elo and the market are under 1 pt apart
no pick yet
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Elo 36%
Spread 37%
Rush (-26)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
SF 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 ATL
Use blend 35% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
CLE Browns Elo: CLE 54% Spread: TEN 57% Titans TEN —
Elo 54%
Spread 43%
Watson (+34)
no pick yet
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Elo 46%
Spread 57%
Ward (+19)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
CLE 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 TEN
Use blend 55% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
IND Colts Elo: MIN 76% Spread: MIN 57% Vikings MIN no pick yet
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Elo 76%
Spread 57%
off bye · Wentz (+43)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
IND 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 MIN
Use blend 62% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
MIA Dolphins Elo: MIA 56% Spread: NYJ 57% Jets NYJ —
Elo 56%
Spread 43%
Willis (+90) · off bye
no pick yet
—
Elo 44%
Spread 57%
Smith (+22)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
MIA 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NYJ
Use blend 54% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
TB Buccaneers Elo: CAR 53% Spread: TB 54% Panthers CAR —
Elo 47%
Spread 54%
Mayfield
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
TB 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CAR
Use blend 47% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
CIN Bengals Elo: BAL 60% Spread: BAL 60% Ravens BAL Tight agreement · Elo and the market are under 1 pt apart
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Elo 40%
Spread 40%
Burrow (+17) · off bye
no pick yet
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Elo 60%
Spread 60%
Jackson (+13)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
CIN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 BAL
Use blend 62% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
NYG Giants Elo: HOU 68% Spread: HOU 66% Texans HOU Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 3 pts apart
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NYG 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 HOU
Use blend 69% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
DEN Broncos Elo: DEN 61% Spread: DEN 71% Cardinals ARI —
Elo 61%
Spread 71%
Nix · off bye
no pick yet
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Elo 39%
Spread 29%
Brissett (-40)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
DEN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 ARI
Use blend 31% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
GB Packers Elo: DET 63% Spread: DET 57% Lions DET no pick yet
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Elo 63%
Spread 57%
off bye · Goff
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
GB 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 DET
Use blend 59% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
LAR Rams Elo: LAR 51% Spread: LAR 71% Raiders LV —
Elo 51%
Spread 71%
Stafford
no pick yet
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Elo 49%
Spread 29%
Cousins (+70)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
LAR 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 LV
Use blend 34% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Monday, Oct 26
KC Chiefs Elo: SEA 66% Spread: SEA 59% Seahawks SEA —
Elo 34%
Spread 41%
Mahomes (+46)
no pick yet
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Elo 66%
Spread 59%
off bye · Lock (-30)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
KC 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 SEA
Use blend 61% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Tuesday, Oct 27
DAL Cowboys Elo: PHI 69% Spread: PHI 59% Eagles PHI —
Elo 31%
Spread 41%
Prescott (+17)
no pick yet
—
Elo 69%
Spread 59%
Hurts (+17)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
DAL 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 PHI
Use blend 61% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.