Beat the models, one Sunday at a time.

Delta Sunday is a free NFL forecasting game. Every week you set how sure you are about each game with a slider. Right and confident earns up to 25 points; wrong and confident costs up to 75. You play against everyone else and against three forecasters: Elo, a rating system built from results alone; the market, what the sportsbooks and prediction markets say; and the blend, our own, backtested on 24 seasons.

  1. Sign in. Email and password, or a link we send you. Free.
  2. Set a number for every game. The System will suggest one; adjust only where you know something the models don't.
  3. Watch the board. Picks lock at kickoff, points land as games end, and the leaderboard shows whether you beat the market this week.

Week 7

Set how sure you are for every game. Right at 100% earns 25 points, wrong at 100% costs 75, 50% scores nothing. Picks save as you go and lock at kickoff. Elo is the model you're trying to beat. The spread, sportsbooks, Kalshi and Polymarket are shown for reference, and they compete on the leaderboard too. Our lock and bold call of the week are on the Predictions page. Sign in to play.

Friday, Oct 23
NEPatriots
Elo: CHI 56%Spread: CHI 54%
BearsCHI
Away12:15 AMHome
Elo 44%
Spread 46%
Maye
no pick yet
Elo 56%
Spread 54%
Williams
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NECHI
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Sunday, Oct 25
PITSteelers
Elo: PIT 60%Spread: PIT 57%
SaintsNO
Neutral site1:30 PM
Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 2 pts apart
Elo 60%
Spread 57%
Rodgers
no pick yet
Elo 40%
Spread 43%
Shough (-16)
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PITNO
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SF49ers
Elo: SF 64%Spread: SF 63%
FalconsATL
Away5:00 PMHome
Tight agreement · Elo and the market are under 1 pt apart
Elo 64%
Spread 63%
Purdy
no pick yet
Elo 36%
Spread 37%
Rush (-26)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
SFATL
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CLEBrowns
Elo: CLE 54%Spread: TEN 57%
TitansTEN
Away5:00 PMHome
Elo 54%
Spread 43%
Watson (+34)
no pick yet
Elo 46%
Spread 57%
Ward (+19)
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CLETEN
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INDColts
Elo: MIN 76%Spread: MIN 57%
VikingsMIN
Away5:00 PMHome
Elo 24%
Spread 43%
Jones
no pick yet
Elo 76%
Spread 57%
off bye · Wentz (+43)
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INDMIN
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MIADolphins
Elo: MIA 56%Spread: NYJ 57%
JetsNYJ
Away5:00 PMHome
Elo 56%
Spread 43%
Willis (+90) · off bye
no pick yet
Elo 44%
Spread 57%
Smith (+22)
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MIANYJ
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TBBuccaneers
Elo: CAR 53%Spread: TB 54%
PanthersCAR
Away5:00 PMHome
Elo 47%
Spread 54%
Mayfield
no pick yet
Elo 53%
Spread 46%
Young
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TBCAR
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CINBengals
Elo: BAL 60%Spread: BAL 60%
RavensBAL
Away5:00 PMHome
Tight agreement · Elo and the market are under 1 pt apart
Elo 40%
Spread 40%
Burrow (+17) · off bye
no pick yet
Elo 60%
Spread 60%
Jackson (+13)
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CINBAL
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NYGGiants
Elo: HOU 68%Spread: HOU 66%
TexansHOU
Away5:00 PMHome
Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 3 pts apart
Elo 32%
Spread 34%
Dart
no pick yet
Elo 68%
Spread 66%
Stroud
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NYGHOU
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DENBroncos
Elo: DEN 61%Spread: DEN 71%
CardinalsARI
Away8:05 PMHome
Elo 61%
Spread 71%
Nix · off bye
no pick yet
Elo 39%
Spread 29%
Brissett (-40)
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DENARI
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GBPackers
Elo: DET 63%Spread: DET 57%
LionsDET
Away8:25 PMHome
Elo 37%
Spread 43%
Love
no pick yet
Elo 63%
Spread 57%
off bye · Goff
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GBDET
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LARRams
Elo: LAR 51%Spread: LAR 71%
RaidersLV
Away8:25 PMHome
Elo 51%
Spread 71%
Stafford
no pick yet
Elo 49%
Spread 29%
Cousins (+70)
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LARLV
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Monday, Oct 26
KCChiefs
Elo: SEA 66%Spread: SEA 59%
SeahawksSEA
Away12:20 AMHome
Elo 34%
Spread 41%
Mahomes (+46)
no pick yet
Elo 66%
Spread 59%
off bye · Lock (-30)
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KCSEA
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Tuesday, Oct 27
DALCowboys
Elo: PHI 69%Spread: PHI 59%
EaglesPHI
Away12:15 AMHome
Elo 31%
Spread 41%
Prescott (+17)
no pick yet
Elo 69%
Spread 59%
Hurts (+17)
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DALPHI
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