Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans
Game data updated 11 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 7, 2026 · Sunday, Oct 25, 5:00 PM · outdoors
Cleveland Browns0–1 · Elo 1423 · Deshaun Watson (+34)
Tennessee Titans
0–1 · Elo 1364 · Cam Ward (+19) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | TEN | CLE | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | CLE 54% | 46% | 54% | TEN 1364 vs CLE 1423, implied spread TEN +1.0 |
| Closing spread | TEN 57% | 57% | 43% | TEN -2.5 |
| The blend | TEN 55% | 55% | 45% |
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The spot: Big disagreement
Elo and the market are 10 or more points apart. Over 24 seasons (943 games) Elo's side won 50% while Elo claimed 63% and the market 49%. The market was right almost every time. Take the market's number, or split the difference at most. This is where Elo is overconfident.
Tennessee Titans over the Browns: Elo 46%, market 57%. Big disagreement: trust the market number. Ward is worth 19 Elo; Watson is worth 34 Elo.
Details
- Rest: TEN 7 days, CLE 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: TEN +19 (Cam Ward), CLE +34 (Deshaun Watson). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.