Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals
Game data updated 11 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 7, 2026 · Sunday, Oct 25, 8:05 PM · closed
Denver Broncos0–1 · Elo 1547 · Bo Nix · off a bye
Arizona Cardinals
1–0 · Elo 1488 · Jacoby Brissett (-40) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | ARI | DEN | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | DEN 61% | 39% | 61% | ARI 1488 vs DEN 1547, implied spread ARI +3.0 |
| Closing spread | DEN 71% | 29% | 71% | ARI +7.5 |
| The blend | DEN 69% | 31% | 69% |
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The spot: Big disagreement
Elo and the market are 10 or more points apart. Over 24 seasons (943 games) Elo's side won 50% while Elo claimed 63% and the market 49%. The market was right almost every time. Take the market's number, or split the difference at most. This is where Elo is overconfident.
Denver Broncos over the Cardinals: Elo 61%, market 71%. Big disagreement: trust the market number. Brissett is costing 40 Elo; DEN off a bye.
Details
- Rest: ARI 7 days, DEN 10 days. DEN off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: ARI -40 (Jacoby Brissett), DEN -1 (Bo Nix). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.