Beat the models, one Sunday at a time. Delta Sunday is a free NFL forecasting game. Every week you set how sure you are about each game with a slider. Right and confident earns up to 25 points; wrong and confident costs up to 75. You play against everyone else and against three forecasters: Elo , a rating system built from results alone; the market , what the sportsbooks and prediction markets say; and the blend , our own, backtested on 24 seasons.
Sign in. Email and password, or a link we send you. Free.Set a number for every game. The System will suggest one; adjust only where you know something the models don't.Watch the board. Picks lock at kickoff, points land as games end, and the leaderboard shows whether you beat the market this week.Week 13 Set how sure you are for every game. Right at 100% earns 25 points, wrong at 100% costs 75, 50% scores nothing. Picks save as you go and lock at kickoff. Elo is the model you're trying to beat. The spread, sportsbooks, Kalshi and Polymarket are shown for reference, and they compete on the leaderboard too. Our lock and bold call of the week are on the Predictions page. Sign in to play.
Friday, Dec 4
KC Chiefs Elo: LAR 54% Spread: LAR 60% Rams LAR —
Elo 46%
Spread 40%
Mahomes (+46)
no pick yet
—
Elo 54%
Spread 60%
Stafford
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
KC 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 LAR
Use blend 59% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Sunday, Dec 6
DET Lions Elo: DET 58% Spread: DET 60% Falcons ATL Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 2 pts apart
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Elo 58%
Spread 60%
Goff · off bye
no pick yet
—
Elo 42%
Spread 40%
Rush (-26)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
DET 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 ATL
Use blend 38% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
JAX Jaguars Elo: CHI 58% Spread: CHI 59% Bears CHI Tight agreement · Elo and the market are under 1 pt apart
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Elo 42%
Spread 41%
Lawrence
no pick yet
—
Elo 58%
Spread 59%
off bye · Williams
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
JAX 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CHI
Use blend 61% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
CIN Bengals Elo: CIN 52% Spread: CIN 63% Browns CLE —
Elo 52%
Spread 63%
Burrow (+17)
no pick yet
—
Elo 48%
Spread 37%
Watson (+34)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
CIN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CLE
Use blend 40% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
WSH Commanders Elo: WSH 57% Spread: WSH 54% Titans TEN —
Elo 57%
Spread 54%
Daniels (+15)
no pick yet
—
Elo 43%
Spread 46%
Ward (+19)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
WSH 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 TEN
Use blend 45% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
GB Packers Elo: GB 53% Spread: GB 63% Saints NO —
Elo 53%
Spread 63%
Love · off bye
no pick yet
—
Elo 47%
Spread 37%
Shough (-16)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
GB 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NO
Use blend 39% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
SF 49ers Elo: SF 59% Spread: SF 59% Giants NYG Tight agreement · Elo and the market are under 1 pt apart
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
SF 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NYG
Use blend 39% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
LAC Chargers Elo: TB 52% Spread: LAC 57% Buccaneers TB —
Elo 48%
Spread 57%
Herbert (+18)
no pick yet
—
Elo 52%
Spread 43%
Mayfield
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
LAC 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 TB
Use blend 45% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
MIA Dolphins Elo: DEN 59% Spread: DEN 76% Broncos DEN —
Elo 41%
Spread 24%
Willis (+90)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
MIA 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 DEN
Use blend 72% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
PHI Eagles Elo: PHI 62% Spread: PHI 74% Cardinals ARI —
Elo 62%
Spread 74%
Hurts (+17) · off bye
no pick yet
—
Elo 38%
Spread 26%
Brissett (-40)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
PHI 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 ARI
Use blend 29% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
CAR Panthers Elo: MIN 77% Spread: MIN 60% Vikings MIN no pick yet
—
Elo 77%
Spread 60%
Wentz (+43)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
CAR 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 MIN
Use blend 64% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
BUF Bills Elo: BUF 52% Spread: NE 54% Patriots NE —
Elo 52%
Spread 46%
Allen · off bye
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
BUF 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NE
Use blend 53% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Monday, Dec 7
HOU Texans Elo: PIT 52% Spread: HOU 54% Steelers PIT no pick yet
—
Elo 52%
Spread 46%
Rodgers
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
HOU 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 PIT
Use blend 47% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Tuesday, Dec 8
DAL Cowboys Elo: SEA 72% Spread: SEA 63% Seahawks SEA —
Elo 28%
Spread 37%
Prescott (+17) · off bye
no pick yet
—
Elo 72%
Spread 63%
Lock (-30)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
DAL 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 SEA
Use blend 65% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.