Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots
Game data updated 15 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 13, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 6, 9:25 PM · outdoors
Buffalo Bills2–0 · Elo 1612 · Josh Allen · off a bye
New England Patriots
0–1 · Elo 1564 · Drake Maye · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | NE | BUF | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | BUF 52% | 48% | 52% | NE 1564 vs BUF 1612, implied spread NE +0.6 |
| Closing spread | NE 54% | 54% | 46% | NE -1.5 |
| The blend | NE 53% | 53% | 47% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Coin flips
Every model has the game between 45% and 55%. Replays: these resolved 50/50, and confident picks on them cost the most points per game. Leave the slider near 50. A wrong 65% costs more than a right one earns.
New England Patriots over the Bills: Elo 48%, market 54%. Coin flip: stay near 50. BUF off a bye.
Details
- Rest: NE 7 days, BUF 10 days. BUF off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.