Beat the models, one Sunday at a time.

Delta Sunday is a free NFL forecasting game. Every week you set how sure you are about each game with a slider. Right and confident earns up to 25 points; wrong and confident costs up to 75. You play against everyone else and against three forecasters: Elo, a rating system built from results alone; the market, what the sportsbooks and prediction markets say; and the blend, our own, backtested on 24 seasons.

Sign in. Email and password, or a link we send you. Free.
Set a number for every game. The System will suggest one; adjust only where you know something the models don't.
Watch the board. Picks lock at kickoff, points land as games end, and the leaderboard shows whether you beat the market this week.

Create a free account How it works See this week's numbers

Week 12

Set how sure you are for every game. Right at 100% earns 25 points, wrong at 100% costs 75, 50% scores nothing. Picks save as you go and lock at kickoff. Elo is the model you're trying to beat. The spread, sportsbooks, Kalshi and Polymarket are shown for reference, and they compete on the leaderboard too. Our lock and bold call of the week are on the Predictions page. Sign in to play.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Wild Card Divisional Conf. Champ.Super Bowl

Thursday, Nov 26

GBPackers

RamsLAR

Away1:00 AMHome

Tight agreement · Elo and the market are under 1 pt apart

—

Elo 37%

Spread 37%

Love · off bye

no pick yet

—

Elo 63%

Spread 63%

off bye · Stafford

Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.

GBLAR

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CHIBears

LionsDET

Away6:00 PMHome

—

Elo 49%

Spread 43%

Williams

no pick yet

—

Elo 51%

Spread 57%

Goff

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CHIDET

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PHIEagles

CowboysDAL

Away9:30 PMHome

—

Elo 56%

Spread 46%

Hurts (+17)

no pick yet

—

Elo 44%

Spread 54%

Prescott (+17)

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PHIDAL

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Friday, Nov 27

KCChiefs

BillsBUF

Away1:20 AMHome

—

Elo 38%

Spread 43%

Mahomes (+46)

no pick yet

—

Elo 62%

Spread 57%

Allen

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KCBUF

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DENBroncos

SteelersPIT

Away8:00 PMHome

—

Elo 46%

Spread 54%

Nix

no pick yet

—

Elo 54%

Spread 46%

Rodgers

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DENPIT

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Sunday, Nov 29

NOSaints

BengalsCIN

Away6:00 PMHome

Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 3 pts apart

—

Elo 34%

Spread 31%

Shough (-16)

no pick yet

—

Elo 66%

Spread 69%

Burrow (+17)

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NOCIN

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LVRaiders

BrownsCLE

Away6:00 PMHome

—

Elo 44%

Spread 46%

Cousins (+70)

no pick yet

—

Elo 56%

Spread 54%

off bye · Watson (+34)

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LVCLE

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NYGGiants

ColtsIND

Away6:00 PMHome

Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 2 pts apart

—

Elo 40%

Spread 43%

Dart

no pick yet

—

Elo 60%

Spread 57%

off bye · Jones

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NYGIND

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NYJJets

DolphinsMIA

Away6:00 PMHome

—

Elo 34%

Spread 46%

Smith (+22)

no pick yet

—

Elo 66%

Spread 54%

Willis (+90)

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NYJMIA

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ATLFalcons

VikingsMIN

Away6:00 PMHome

—

Elo 26%

Spread 37%

Rush (-26) · off bye

no pick yet

—

Elo 74%

Spread 63%

Wentz (+43)

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ATLMIN

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BALRavens

TexansHOU

Away6:00 PMHome

—

Elo 42%

Spread 46%

Jackson (+13)

no pick yet

—

Elo 58%

Spread 54%

off bye · Stroud

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BALHOU

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TENTitans

JaguarsJAX

Away9:05 PMHome

—

Elo 20%

Spread 34%

Ward (+19)

no pick yet

—

Elo 80%

Spread 66%

Lawrence

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TENJAX

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WSHCommanders

CardinalsARI

Away9:25 PMHome

—

Elo 48%

Spread 63%

Daniels (+15)

no pick yet

—

Elo 52%

Spread 37%

Brissett (-40)

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WSHARI

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SEASeahawks

49ersSF

Away9:25 PMHome

—

Elo 50%

Spread 54%

Lock (-30) · off bye

no pick yet

—

Elo 50%

Spread 46%

Purdy

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SEASF

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Monday, Nov 30

NEPatriots

ChargersLAC

Away1:20 AMHome

—

Elo 56%

Spread 46%

Maye · off bye

no pick yet

—

Elo 44%

Spread 54%

Herbert (+18)

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NELAC

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Tuesday, Dec 1

CARPanthers

BuccaneersTB

Away1:15 AMHome

Tight agreement · Elo and the market are under 1 pt apart

—

Elo 39%

Spread 40%

Young

no pick yet

—

Elo 61%

Spread 60%

Mayfield

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CARTB

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