Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars
Game data updated 13 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 12, 2026 · Sunday, Nov 29, 9:05 PM · outdoors
Tennessee Titans0–1 · Elo 1364 · Cam Ward (+19)
Jacksonville Jaguars
1–0 · Elo 1571 · Trevor Lawrence · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | JAX | TEN | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | JAX 80% | 80% | 20% | JAX 1571 vs TEN 1364, implied spread JAX −9.6 |
| Closing spread | JAX 66% | 66% | 34% | JAX -5.5 |
| The blend | JAX 69% | 69% | 31% |
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The spot: Big disagreement
Elo and the market are 10 or more points apart. Over 24 seasons (943 games) Elo's side won 50% while Elo claimed 63% and the market 49%. The market was right almost every time. Take the market's number, or split the difference at most. This is where Elo is overconfident.
Jacksonville Jaguars over the Titans: Elo 80%, market 66%. Big disagreement: trust the market number. Ward is worth 19 Elo.
Details
- Rest: JAX 7 days, TEN 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: JAX +3 (Trevor Lawrence), TEN +19 (Cam Ward). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.