New Orleans Saints at Cincinnati Bengals
Game data updated 12 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 12, 2026 · Sunday, Nov 29, 6:00 PM · outdoors
New Orleans Saints0–1 · Elo 1472 · Tyler Shough (-16)
Cincinnati Bengals
1–0 · Elo 1505 · Joe Burrow (+17) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | CIN | NO | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | CIN 66% | 66% | 34% | CIN 1505 vs NO 1472, implied spread CIN −4.5 |
| Closing spread | CIN 69% | 69% | 31% | CIN -6.5 |
| The blend | CIN 70% | 70% | 30% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Cincinnati Bengals over the Saints: Elo 66%, market 69%. Tight agreement: go above both. Burrow is worth 17 Elo; Shough is costing 16 Elo.
Details
- Rest: CIN 6 days, NO 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: CIN +17 (Joe Burrow), NO -16 (Tyler Shough). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.