Beat the models, one Sunday at a time. Delta Sunday is a free NFL forecasting game. Every week you set how sure you are about each game with a slider. Right and confident earns up to 25 points; wrong and confident costs up to 75. You play against everyone else and against three forecasters: Elo , a rating system built from results alone; the market , what the sportsbooks and prediction markets say; and the blend , our own, backtested on 24 seasons.
Sign in. Email and password, or a link we send you. Free.Set a number for every game. The System will suggest one; adjust only where you know something the models don't.Watch the board. Picks lock at kickoff, points land as games end, and the leaderboard shows whether you beat the market this week.Week 4 Set how sure you are for every game. Right at 100% earns 25 points, wrong at 100% costs 75, 50% scores nothing. Picks save as you go and lock at kickoff. Elo is the model you're trying to beat. The spread, sportsbooks, Kalshi and Polymarket are shown for reference, and they compete on the leaderboard too. Our lock and bold call of the week are on the Predictions page. Sign in to play.
Friday, Oct 2
PIT Steelers Elo: PIT 53% Spread: PIT 57% Browns CLE —
Elo 53%
Spread 57%
Rodgers
no pick yet
—
Elo 47%
Spread 43%
Watson (+34)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
PIT 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CLE
Use blend 44% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Sunday, Oct 4
IND Colts Elo: WSH 52% Spread: WSH 54% Commanders WSH no pick yet
—
Elo 52%
Spread 54%
Daniels (+15)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
IND 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 WSH
Use blend 54% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
NE Patriots Elo: BUF 62% Spread: BUF 59% Bills BUF Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 3 pts apart
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NE 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 BUF
Use blend 62% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
NYJ Jets Elo: CHI 69% Spread: CHI 74% Bears CHI —
Elo 31%
Spread 26%
Smith (+22)
no pick yet
—
Elo 69%
Spread 74%
Williams
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NYJ 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CHI
Use blend 72% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
JAX Jaguars Elo: JAX 51% Spread: CIN 57% Bengals CIN —
Elo 51%
Spread 43%
Lawrence
no pick yet
—
Elo 49%
Spread 57%
Burrow (+17)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
JAX 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CIN
Use blend 55% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
ARI Cardinals Elo: NYG 60% Spread: NYG 70% Giants NYG —
Elo 40%
Spread 30%
Brissett (-40)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
ARI 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NYG
Use blend 67% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
LAR Rams Elo: PHI 59% Spread: LAR 54% Eagles PHI —
Elo 41%
Spread 54%
Stafford
no pick yet
—
Elo 59%
Spread 46%
Hurts (+17)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
LAR 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 PHI
Use blend 49% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
GB Packers Elo: GB 52% Spread: GB 54% Buccaneers TB —
Elo 52%
Spread 54%
Love · off bye
no pick yet
—
Elo 48%
Spread 46%
Mayfield
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
GB 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 TB
Use blend 46% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
TEN Titans Elo: BAL 80% Spread: BAL 74% Ravens BAL —
Elo 20%
Spread 26%
Ward (+19)
no pick yet
—
Elo 80%
Spread 74%
Jackson (+13)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
TEN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 BAL
Use blend 75% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
DAL Cowboys Elo: HOU 69% Spread: HOU 57% Texans HOU —
Elo 31%
Spread 43%
Prescott (+17)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
DAL 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 HOU
Use blend 60% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
MIA Dolphins Elo: MIN 66% Spread: MIN 71% Vikings MIN —
Elo 34%
Spread 29%
Willis (+90)
no pick yet
—
Elo 66%
Spread 71%
Wentz (+43)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
MIA 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 MIN
Use blend 70% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
KC Chiefs Elo: KC 54% Spread: KC 66% Raiders LV —
Elo 54%
Spread 66%
Mahomes (+46)
no pick yet
—
Elo 46%
Spread 34%
Cousins (+70)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
KC 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 LV
Use blend 37% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
DEN Broncos Elo: SF 62% Spread: SF 57% 49ers SF Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
DEN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 SF
Use blend 59% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
LAC Chargers Elo: SEA 71% Spread: SEA 59% Seahawks SEA —
Elo 29%
Spread 41%
Herbert (+18)
no pick yet
—
Elo 71%
Spread 59%
Lock (-30)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
LAC 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 SEA
Use blend 62% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Monday, Oct 5
DET Lions Elo: DET 55% Spread: DET 59% Panthers CAR Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
DET 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CAR
Use blend 42% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
Tuesday, Oct 6
ATL Falcons Elo: NO 56% Spread: NO 57% Saints NO Tight agreement · Elo and the market are 2 pts apart
—
Elo 44%
Spread 43%
Rush (-26) · off bye
no pick yet
—
Elo 56%
Spread 57%
Shough (-16)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
ATL 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NO
Use blend 59% Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.