Week 4 predictions

Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants

Game data updated 14 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open

Week 4, 2026 · Sunday, Oct 4, 5:00 PM · outdoors

Arizona Cardinals
1–0 · Elo 1488 · Jacoby Brissett (-40)
Elo: NYG 60%Spread: NYG 70%
New York Giants
1–0 · Elo 1474 · Jaxson Dart · Home

What the forecasters say

ForecasterFavorsNYGARINote
EloNYG 60%60%40%NYG 1474 vs ARI 1488, implied spread NYG −2.8
Closing spreadNYG 70%70%30%NYG -7
The blendNYG 67%67%33%

The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.

The spot: Everything else

Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.

New York Giants over the Cardinals: Elo 60%, market 70%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. Brissett is costing 40 Elo.

Details

Line movement

No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.