Week 4 predictions

Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers

Game data updated 14 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open

Week 4, 2026 · Monday, Oct 5, 12:20 AM · outdoors

Detroit Lions
1–1 · Elo 1519 · Jared Goff
Elo: DET 55%Spread: DET 59%
Carolina Panthers
0–1 · Elo 1431 · Bryce Young · Home

What the forecasters say

ForecasterFavorsCARDETNote
EloDET 55%45%55%CAR 1431 vs DET 1519, implied spread CAR +1.4
Closing spreadDET 59%41%59%CAR +3
The blendDET 58%42%58%

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The spot: Everything else

Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.

Detroit Lions over the Panthers: Elo 55%, market 59%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine.

Details

Line movement

No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.