Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys
Game data updated 14 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 8, 2026 · Sunday, Nov 1, 6:00 PM · closed
Arizona Cardinals1–0 · Elo 1488 · Jacoby Brissett (-40)
Dallas Cowboys
0–1 · Elo 1449 · Dak Prescott (+17) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | DAL | ARI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | DAL 59% | 59% | 41% | DAL 1449 vs ARI 1488, implied spread DAL −2.6 |
| Closing spread | DAL 78% | 78% | 22% | DAL -10.5 |
| The blend | DAL 74% | 74% | 26% |
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The spot: Big disagreement
Elo and the market are 10 or more points apart. Over 24 seasons (943 games) Elo's side won 50% while Elo claimed 63% and the market 49%. The market was right almost every time. Take the market's number, or split the difference at most. This is where Elo is overconfident.
Dallas Cowboys over the Cardinals: Elo 59%, market 78%. Big disagreement: trust the market number. Prescott is worth 17 Elo; Brissett is costing 40 Elo.
Details
- Rest: DAL 6 days, ARI 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: DAL +17 (Dak Prescott), ARI -40 (Jacoby Brissett). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.