Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams
Game data updated 12 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 8, 2026 · Sunday, Nov 1, 9:05 PM · dome
Los Angeles Chargers0–1 · Elo 1481 · Justin Herbert (+18) · off a bye
Los Angeles Rams
0–1 · Elo 1545 · Matthew Stafford · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | LAR | LAC | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | LAR 60% | 60% | 40% | LAR 1545 vs LAC 1481, implied spread LAR −2.7 |
| Closing spread | LAR 63% | 63% | 37% | LAR -4.5 |
| The blend | LAR 64% | 64% | 36% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Los Angeles Rams over the Chargers: Elo 60%, market 63%. Tight agreement: go above both. Herbert is worth 18 Elo; LAC off a bye.
Details
- Rest: LAR 7 days, LAC 14 days. LAC off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: LAR 0 (Matthew Stafford), LAC +18 (Justin Herbert). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.