Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers
Game data updated 14 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 8, 2026 · Sunday, Nov 1, 6:00 PM · outdoors
Cleveland Browns0–1 · Elo 1423 · Deshaun Watson (+34)
Pittsburgh Steelers
1–0 · Elo 1526 · Aaron Rodgers · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | PIT | CLE | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | PIT 66% | 66% | 34% | PIT 1526 vs CLE 1423, implied spread PIT −4.6 |
| Closing spread | PIT 67% | 67% | 33% | PIT -6 |
| The blend | PIT 69% | 69% | 31% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Pittsburgh Steelers over the Browns: Elo 66%, market 67%. Tight agreement: go above both. Watson is worth 34 Elo.
Details
- Rest: PIT 7 days, CLE 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: PIT -2 (Aaron Rodgers), CLE +34 (Deshaun Watson). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.