Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers
Game data updated 14 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 10, 2026 · Sunday, Nov 15, 6:00 PM · outdoors
Minnesota Vikings1–0 · Elo 1555 · Carson Wentz (+43)
Green Bay Packers
0–1 · Elo 1500 · Jordan Love · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | GB | MIN | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | MIN 57% | 43% | 57% | GB 1500 vs MIN 1555, implied spread GB +2.0 |
| Closing spread | GB 63% | 63% | 37% | GB -4.5 |
| The blend | GB 58% | 58% | 42% |
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The spot: Big disagreement
Elo and the market are 10 or more points apart. Over 24 seasons (943 games) Elo's side won 50% while Elo claimed 63% and the market 49%. The market was right almost every time. Take the market's number, or split the difference at most. This is where Elo is overconfident.
Green Bay Packers over the Vikings: Elo 43%, market 63%. Big disagreement: trust the market number. Wentz is worth 43 Elo.
Details
- Rest: GB 7 days, MIN 6 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: GB +0 (Jordan Love), MIN +43 (Carson Wentz). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.