Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns
Game data updated 14 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 10, 2026 · Sunday, Nov 15, 6:00 PM · outdoors
Houston Texans0–1 · Elo 1556 · C.J. Stroud
Cleveland Browns
0–1 · Elo 1423 · Deshaun Watson (+34) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | CLE | HOU | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | HOU 57% | 43% | 57% | CLE 1423 vs HOU 1556, implied spread CLE +2.1 |
| Closing spread | HOU 63% | 37% | 63% | CLE +4.5 |
| The blend | HOU 62% | 38% | 62% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Houston Texans over the Browns: Elo 57%, market 63%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. Watson is worth 34 Elo.
Details
- Rest: CLE 7 days, HOU 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: CLE +34 (Deshaun Watson), HOU +1 (C.J. Stroud). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.