Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders
Game data updated 11 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 6, 2026 · Sunday, Oct 18, 8:25 PM · dome
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | LV | BUF | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | BUF 59% | 41% | 59% | LV 1420 vs BUF 1612, implied spread LV +2.6 |
| Closing spread | BUF 69% | 31% | 69% | LV +6.5 |
| The blend | BUF 66% | 34% | 66% |
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The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Buffalo Bills over the Raiders: Elo 59%, market 69%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. Cousins is worth 70 Elo.
Details
- Rest: LV 7 days, BUF 6 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: LV +70 (Kirk Cousins), BUF -9 (Josh Allen). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.