Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams
Game data updated 13 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 6, 2026 · Sunday, Oct 18, 8:05 PM · dome
Arizona Cardinals1–0 · Elo 1488 · Jacoby Brissett (-40)
Los Angeles Rams
0–1 · Elo 1545 · Matthew Stafford · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | LAR | ARI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | LAR 70% | 70% | 30% | LAR 1545 vs ARI 1488, implied spread LAR −5.7 |
| Closing spread | LAR 84% | 84% | 16% | LAR -13.5 |
| The blend | LAR 81% | 81% | 19% |
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The spot: Big disagreement
Elo and the market are 10 or more points apart. Over 24 seasons (943 games) Elo's side won 50% while Elo claimed 63% and the market 49%. The market was right almost every time. Take the market's number, or split the difference at most. This is where Elo is overconfident.
Los Angeles Rams over the Cardinals: Elo 70%, market 84%. Big disagreement: trust the market number. Brissett is costing 40 Elo.
Details
- Rest: LAR 6 days, ARI 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: LAR 0 (Matthew Stafford), ARI -40 (Jacoby Brissett). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.