Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers
Game data updated 12 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 6, 2026 · Tuesday, Oct 20, 12:15 AM · outdoors
Washington Commanders0–1 · Elo 1467 · Jayden Daniels (+15)
San Francisco 49ers
1–0 · Elo 1584 · Brock Purdy · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | SF | WSH | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | SF 70% | 70% | 30% | SF 1584 vs WSH 1467, implied spread SF −6.0 |
| Closing spread | SF 66% | 66% | 34% | SF -5.5 |
| The blend | SF 67% | 67% | 33% |
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The spot: Clear favorite, mild disagreement
Both favor the same team by 60% or more, but they differ by 4 to 10 points. Replays: favorites won about as often as the average of the two forecasts said (no surplus either way). The blend without a bump. Nothing to exploit; take the average.
San Francisco 49ers over the Commanders: Elo 70%, market 66%. Clear favorite, take the average.
Details
- Rest: SF 8 days, WSH 8 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: SF -1 (Brock Purdy), WSH +15 (Jayden Daniels). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Tuesday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.