Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts
Game data updated 12 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 6, 2026 · Sunday, Oct 18, 5:00 PM · closed
Tennessee Titans0–1 · Elo 1364 · Cam Ward (+19)
Indianapolis Colts
0–1 · Elo 1472 · Daniel Jones · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | IND | TEN | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | IND 68% | 68% | 32% | IND 1472 vs TEN 1364, implied spread IND −5.3 |
| Closing spread | IND 60% | 60% | 40% | IND -3.5 |
| The blend | IND 62% | 62% | 38% |
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The spot: Clear favorite, mild disagreement
Both favor the same team by 60% or more, but they differ by 4 to 10 points. Replays: favorites won about as often as the average of the two forecasts said (no surplus either way). The blend without a bump. Nothing to exploit; take the average.
Indianapolis Colts over the Titans: Elo 68%, market 60%. Clear favorite, take the average. Ward is worth 19 Elo.
Details
- Rest: IND 7 days, TEN 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: IND -6 (Daniel Jones), TEN +19 (Cam Ward). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.