Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars
Game data updated 12 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 6, 2026 · Sunday, Oct 18, 1:30 PM · neutral site · outdoors
Houston Texans0–1 · Elo 1556 · C.J. Stroud
Jacksonville Jaguars
1–0 · Elo 1571 · Trevor Lawrence · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | JAX | HOU | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | JAX 52% | 52% | 48% | JAX 1571 vs HOU 1556, implied spread JAX −0.7 |
| Closing spread | JAX 54% | 54% | 46% | JAX -1.5 |
| The blend | JAX 54% | 54% | 46% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Coin flips
Every model has the game between 45% and 55%. Replays: these resolved 50/50, and confident picks on them cost the most points per game. Leave the slider near 50. A wrong 65% costs more than a right one earns.
Jacksonville Jaguars over the Texans: Elo 52%, market 54%. Coin flip: stay near 50.
Details
- Rest: JAX 7 days, HOU 7 days.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.