Arizona Cardinals at Kansas City Chiefs
Game data updated 12 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 11, 2026 · Sunday, Nov 22, 6:00 PM · outdoors
Arizona Cardinals1–0 · Elo 1488 · Jacoby Brissett (-40)
Kansas City Chiefs
1–0 · Elo 1518 · Patrick Mahomes (+46) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | KC | ARI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | KC 72% | 72% | 28% | KC 1518 vs ARI 1488, implied spread KC −6.5 |
| Closing spread | KC 80% | 80% | 20% | KC -11.5 |
| The blend | KC 78% | 78% | 22% |
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The spot: Clear favorite, mild disagreement
Both favor the same team by 60% or more, but they differ by 4 to 10 points. Replays: favorites won about as often as the average of the two forecasts said (no surplus either way). The blend without a bump. Nothing to exploit; take the average.
Kansas City Chiefs over the Cardinals: Elo 72%, market 80%. Clear favorite, take the average. Mahomes is worth 46 Elo; Brissett is costing 40 Elo.
Details
- Rest: KC 7 days, ARI 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: KC +46 (Patrick Mahomes), ARI -40 (Jacoby Brissett). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.