Cincinnati Bengals at Washington Commanders
Game data updated 13 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 11, 2026 · Tuesday, Nov 24, 1:15 AM · outdoors
Cincinnati Bengals1–0 · Elo 1505 · Joe Burrow (+17)
Washington Commanders
0–1 · Elo 1467 · Jayden Daniels (+15) · off a bye · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | WSH | CIN | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | WSH 55% | 55% | 45% | WSH 1467 vs CIN 1505, implied spread WSH −1.3 |
| Closing spread | CIN 54% | 46% | 54% | WSH +1.5 |
| The blend | CIN 52% | 48% | 52% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Coin flips
Every model has the game between 45% and 55%. Replays: these resolved 50/50, and confident picks on them cost the most points per game. Leave the slider near 50. A wrong 65% costs more than a right one earns.
Cincinnati Bengals over the Commanders: Elo 45%, market 54%. Coin flip: stay near 50. Burrow is worth 17 Elo; WSH off a bye.
Details
- Rest: WSH 11 days, CIN 8 days. WSH off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: WSH +15 (Jayden Daniels), CIN +17 (Joe Burrow). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Tuesday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.