Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys
Game data updated 11 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 11, 2026 · Sunday, Nov 22, 6:00 PM · closed
Tennessee Titans0–1 · Elo 1364 · Cam Ward (+19)
Dallas Cowboys
0–1 · Elo 1449 · Dak Prescott (+17) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | DAL | TEN | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | DAL 68% | 68% | 32% | DAL 1449 vs TEN 1364, implied spread DAL −5.2 |
| Closing spread | DAL 69% | 69% | 31% | DAL -6.5 |
| The blend | DAL 70% | 70% | 30% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Dallas Cowboys over the Titans: Elo 68%, market 69%. Tight agreement: go above both. Prescott is worth 17 Elo; Ward is worth 19 Elo.
Details
- Rest: DAL 7 days, TEN 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: DAL +17 (Dak Prescott), TEN +19 (Cam Ward). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.