Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles
Game data updated 25 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 11, 2026 · Sunday, Nov 22, 9:25 PM · outdoors
Pittsburgh Steelers1–0 · Elo 1526 · Aaron Rodgers
Philadelphia Eagles
1–0 · Elo 1539 · Jalen Hurts (+17) · off a bye · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | PHI | PIT | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | PHI 65% | 65% | 35% | PHI 1539 vs PIT 1526, implied spread PHI −4.2 |
| Closing spread | PHI 66% | 66% | 34% | PHI -5.5 |
| The blend | PHI 68% | 68% | 32% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Philadelphia Eagles over the Steelers: Elo 65%, market 66%. Tight agreement: go above both. Hurts is worth 17 Elo; PHI off a bye.
Details
- Rest: PHI 14 days, PIT 7 days. PHI off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: PHI +17 (Jalen Hurts), PIT -2 (Aaron Rodgers). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.