Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans
Game data updated 27 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 12, 2026 · Sunday, Nov 29, 6:00 PM · closed
Baltimore Ravens1–0 · Elo 1559 · Lamar Jackson (+13)
Houston Texans
0–1 · Elo 1556 · C.J. Stroud · off a bye · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | HOU | BAL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | HOU 58% | 58% | 42% | HOU 1556 vs BAL 1559, implied spread HOU −2.3 |
| Closing spread | HOU 54% | 54% | 46% | HOU -1.5 |
| The blend | HOU 55% | 55% | 45% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Houston Texans over the Ravens: Elo 58%, market 54%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. HOU off a bye.
Details
- Rest: HOU 10 days, BAL 7 days. HOU off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: HOU +1 (C.J. Stroud), BAL +13 (Lamar Jackson). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.