Las Vegas Raiders at Cleveland Browns
Game data updated 26 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 12, 2026 · Sunday, Nov 29, 6:00 PM · outdoors
Las Vegas Raiders1–0 · Elo 1420 · Kirk Cousins (+70)
Cleveland Browns
0–1 · Elo 1423 · Deshaun Watson (+34) · off a bye · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | CLE | LV | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | CLE 56% | 56% | 44% | CLE 1423 vs LV 1420, implied spread CLE −1.6 |
| Closing spread | CLE 54% | 54% | 46% | CLE -1.5 |
| The blend | CLE 55% | 55% | 45% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Cleveland Browns over the Raiders: Elo 56%, market 54%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. Watson is worth 34 Elo; Cousins is worth 70 Elo; CLE off a bye.
Details
- Rest: CLE 14 days, LV 7 days. CLE off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: CLE +34 (Deshaun Watson), LV +70 (Kirk Cousins). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.